Filton and Bradley Stoke General Election background

Filton & Bradley Stoke constituency has been held by incumbent Conservative MP Jack Lopresti since it was created in 2010.

Filton and Bradley Stoke Election 2024 – Jack Lopresti, Conservatives – Filton Voice: Filton and Bradley Stoke General Election background Filton and Bradley Stoke Election 2024 – Claire Hazelgrove, Labour – Filton Voice: Filton and Bradley Stoke General Election background Filton and Bradley Stoke Election 2024 – Benet Allen, Liberal Democrats – Filton Voice: Filton and Bradley Stoke General Election background Filton and Bradley Stoke Election 2024 – Stephen Burge, Reform UK – Filton Voice: Filton and Bradley Stoke General Election background Filton and Bradley Stoke Election 2024 – James Nelson, Green Party – Filton Voice: Filton and Bradley Stoke General Election background

Labour candidate Claire Hazelgrove is tipped to oust him at the 2024 General Election on Thursday, July 4, with the latest YouGov MRP poll suggesting this is “likely”.

In 2019, Jack Lopresti was returned to Parliament with 49 per cent of the vote, beating Labour’s Mhairi Threlfall in second place with 38 per cent, while the Lib Dems and Greens were a distant third and fourth respectively ahead of a candidate from Citizens Movement Party UK.

A swing of just over five per cent from the Tories to Labour would see the seat change hands for the first time.

YouGov’s second MRP poll of the campaign in mid-June, which is regarded as one of the most accurate because it uses a large survey and data size, predicted a Labour gain with 49 per cent of the vote – 13 per cent more than five years ago – with the Conservatives in second on 27 per cent, down almost half.

Reform UK, standing for the first time, is forecast to finish third on 14 per cent, ahead of the Greens on seven per cent overtaking the Lib Dems on four per cent.

Their candidates are Stephen Burge (Reform UK), James Nelson (Green) and Benet Allen (Lib Dem).

Filton & Bradley Stoke constituency has seen some boundary changes for this year’s General Election, including gaining parts of the former Kingswood seat, which has been abolished, such as Emersons Green.

It has lost Severn Beach, which has moved into Thornbury & Yate, while Staple Hill and Mangotsfield are now part of the new Bristol North East constituency.

Filton & Bradley Stoke comprises the South Gloucestershire wards of Bradley Stoke North, Bradley Stoke South, Charlton & Cribbs, Emersons Green, Filton, Frenchay & Downend, Patchway Coniston, Stoke Gifford, Stoke Park & Cheswick and Winterbourne.